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# January 22, 2016: Tipping Point for Insurance Capital and What the Models Know About Jonas
- URL: https://www.riskmarketnews.com/january-22-2016-tipping-point-for-insurance-capital-and-what-the-models-know-about-jonas/
- Published: 2016-01-22T07:42:30.000Z
- Updated: 2016-01-22T07:42:30.000Z
- Author: Chris Westfall

## Risk Science: What You Need to Read Today

### [Forecasters Are Shocked by How Long They’ve Seen Winter Storm Jonas Coming](http://www.techinsider.io/all-models-of-winter-storm-jonas-point-to-one-outcome-2016-1?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [Tech Insider](http://www.techinsider.io/all-models-of-winter-storm-jonas-point-to-one-outcome-2016-1?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Computer models all over the world – some of which run as many as many as 700 trillion calculations per second – are consistently turning up highly similar predictions of Jonas’ course.

### [Targeted School Closures Might Help Fight Pandemic Flu](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-flupandemic-school-closure-idUSKCN0UZ2NZ?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [Reuters](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-flupandemic-school-closure-idUSKCN0UZ2NZ?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Closing select schools or even just certain classrooms might limit social costs while slowing down spread of the disease more effectively than a nationwide shutdown.

### [El Niño Does Bring Floods And Drought But There’s A Silver Lining](http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2016/01/22/463595760/el-ni-o-does-bring-floods-and-drought-but-theres-a-silver-lining?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [NPR](http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2016/01/22/463595760/el-ni-o-does-bring-floods-and-drought-but-theres-a-silver-lining?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Maybe El Niño isn’t as bad as its reputation.

### [Japan Offers Us Many Lessons in Embracing Longevity](http://theconversation.com/japan-offers-us-many-lessons-in-embracing-longevity-51913?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [The Conversation](http://theconversation.com/japan-offers-us-many-lessons-in-embracing-longevity-51913?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Japan’s experience makes it an interesting example to learn from in the area of aged care.

## Risk Business: What You Need to Read Today

### [Capital Flows Into Insurance: Are We at a Tipping Point](http://www.diamond-hill.com/capital-flows-into-insurance-are-we-at-a-tipping-point/?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [Diamond Hill Capital Management](http://www.diamond-hill.com/capital-flows-into-insurance-are-we-at-a-tipping-point/?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

With institutional investors coming to accept insurance risks as an asset class and industry players willing to partner with these investors, there is a classic marker for a tipping point.

### [Stop Ignoring Costs of Smaller Disasters: U.N. Risk Chief](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-disaster-risks-idUSKCN0UZ12U?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [Reuters](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-climatechange-disaster-risks-idUSKCN0UZ12U?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Governments around the world are underestimating the costs of disasters, particularly smaller ones triggered by weather and climate extremes.

### [Travelers Earnings Beat Street, Fall Shy of Last Year](http://www.wsj.com/articles/travelers-earnings-beat-street-fall-shy-of-last-year-1453380048?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [WSJ (sub may be required)](http://www.wsj.com/articles/travelers-earnings-beat-street-fall-shy-of-last-year-1453380048?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

New York insurer reports weaker investment income as low interest rates eat into bond portfolio.

### [Aviva to Buy RBC Unit for Canada Growth as Wilson Builds Insurer](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-21/aviva-to-buy-rbc-unit-for-canada-growth-as-wilson-builds-insurer?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

#### [Bloomberg](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-21/aviva-to-buy-rbc-unit-for-canada-growth-as-wilson-builds-insurer?ref=riskmarketnews.com)

Aviva Chief Executive Officer Mark Wilson, who joined in 2013 to turn around the insurer, has been reshaping the company through deals.