Are Climate-Conditioned Cat Models Solving the Right Problem?
Also, Texas targets model trail in wildfire lawsuit.
2 min read
Risky Science Podcast
Conversations with the leading thinkers about measuring risk, including researchers, modelers, investors and insurers.
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2026: When Cascading Housing Risk Meets Repeating Reinsurance Shocks
📌 Reminder: The Risky Science Podcast Live starts next month. The first session is Cyber Risk in 2026: Modeling, Market Dynamics & Systemic Stress: Thursday, January 8 2026 at 1 p.
2 min read
Models, Priorities and Pandemic Finance
Also, investors double down on private credit scrutiny and a new law looks to crack catastrophe model data.
2 min read
Decoding the Language of Catastrophe Models for Investors
Also: BoE proposes FundedRe framework, flood insurance is a political football... again.
2 min read
From Climate to AI: Why Some Catastrophic Risks Defy Easy Models
Why uncertainty defines catastrophic risk, how climate change, pandemics, and AI intersect, and why markets alone cannot address these perils.
2 min read
The Prediction Markets Are Coming For Risk Markets and Insurance
Once just for betting on NBA games, prediction markets want to make parametric triggers cool again.
3 min read
Trust, Correlation, and Climate: Dirk Schmelzer on Cat Bond Investing
Models will need to “play catch up” on perils most affected by warming trends, such as severe convective storms, Schmelzer says.
2 min read
Monte Carlo's New Reality: Climate-Conditioned Models and Real-Time Risk
Karen Clark explains how real-time data validation and climate-conditioned risk assessment are transforming investor confidence in secondary perils as the reinsurance industry heads into its annual pricing cycle.
3 min read
Katrina at 20: Fermat's John Seo on Cat Bonds, Models, and Market Lessons
Fermat Capital’s John Seo reflects on how the storm validated catastrophe models, transformed the cat bond market, and laid the groundwork for today’s cyber risk transfer.
32 min read
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Why California Should Buy, Not Build Wildfire Models
California needs to learn the successes, and failures, of other states when addressing its growing wildfire crisis.
2 min read
The Weather Risk Wall Street Isn't Ready To Tackle
Secondary perils are becoming a first order risk.
2 min read
Why the Next Pacific Northwest Earthquake Won’t Just Shake the Ground
The next (and inevitable) Cascadia megaquake could instantly drop entire coastlines by meters, pushing ports, homes, and hospitals into the floodplain for generations.
2 min read
