The Risk Nobody Models and the Losses Shareholders End Up Eating
California allows for more model data, but with restrictions.
The free Wednesday newsletter of exclusive RMN stories, along with news updates from the world of risk finance, markets and models.
California allows for more model data, but with restrictions.
Also this week: We've never tested the failure of a major life insurer. It may be time to get ready.
Costly capital and limited competition in offshore reinsurance inflate hurricane premiums, and how much homeowners could save if those barriers fall.
As the 2026 Hurricane seasons starts on Monday, risk and market professionals are playing a different El Niño hedge.
Ebola, statistics, and what pandemic science can teach markets.
Modeling suggests the Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the DRC may already be twice the official case count, and the private market architecture built to respond to exactly this kind of possible global event no longer exists.
A White House council's sweeping FEMA overhaul would replace loss-based disaster reimbursements with parametric block grants, accelerating both the retreat of federal flood insurance and the case for private catastrophe modelers as essential infrastructure in U.S. disaster finance.
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The hard market has peaked, the diversification trade is on, and nobody is stepping up to close the US flood coverage gap.
Also, the prediction market has catastrophe problem
Also, how do you model the Hormuz confusion?